Publications
* denotes co-first author, ^ denotes equally contributed, $ denotes co-senior author
(12) TA Perkins, JH Huber, Q Tran Minh, RJ Oidtman, MK Walters, AS Siraj, SM Moore. Burden is in the eye of the beholder: Sensitivity of yellow fever disease burden estimates to modeling assumptions. Accepted at Science Advances. doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.01.06.21249311. html
(11) RJ Oidtman, E Omodei, MUG Kraemer, CA Casteñeda-Orjuela, E Cruz-Rivera, S Misnaza-Castrillón, MP Cifuentes, LE Rincon, Viviana Cañon, P de Alarcon, G España, JH Huber, SC Hill, CM Barker, MA Johansson, CA Manore, RC Reiner, I Rodriguez-Barraquer, AS Siraj, E Frias-Martinez, M García-Herranz, TA Perkins. Trade-offs between individual and ensemble forecasts of an emerging infectious disease. Accepted at Nature Communications. doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.02.25.21252363. html | pdf
(10) G España, SM Cavany^, RJ Oidtman^, Carly Barbera, Alan Costello, Anita Lerch, Marya Poterek, Quan Tran, Annaliese Weiler, SM Moore, TA Perkins. Impact of K-12 school reopening on the COVID-19 epidemic in Indiana, USA. 2021. Epidemics. html | pdf
(9) RJ Oidtman, P Arevalo, Q Bi, LM McGough, CJ Russo, M Veira, KM Gostic. Influenza immune escape under heterogeneous host immune histories. 2021. Trends in Microbiology. html | pdf
(8) AF Brito*, LC Machado*, RJ Oidtman [co-first]*, MC Lima Siconelli*, Q Minh Tran, JR Fauver, R Dias de Oliveira Carvalho, FZ Dezordi, MR Pereira, L Antunes De Castro-Jorge, EC Manini Minto, LM Romanholi Passos, CC Kalinich, ME Patrone, E Allen, G España, AT Huang, DAT Cummings, G Baele, RF Oliveira Franca$, BA Lopes da Fonseca$, TA Perkins$, GL Wallau$, ND Grubaugh$. Lying in wait: the resurgence of dengue virus after the Zika epidemic in Brazil. 2021. Nature Communications. html | pdf | code
(7) RJ Oidtman, G España, TA Perkins. Co-circulation and misdiagnosis led to underestimation of the 2015-2017 Zika epidemic in the Americas. 2021. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases. html | pdf | code
(6) SM Moore, RJ Oidtman, KJ Soda, AS Siraj, RC Reiner, CM Barker, TA Perkins. Leveraging multiple data types to estimate the true size of the Zika epidemic in the Americas. 2020. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases. html | pdf | code.
(5) TA Perkins*, SM Cavany*, SM Moore*, RJ Oidtman, A Lerch, M Poterek. 2020. Estimating unobserved SARS-CoV-2 infections in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. html | pdf | code
(4) N Grubaugh, S Saraf, K Gangavarapu, A Watts, AL Tan, RJ Oidtman, JT Ladner, G Oliveira, NL Matteson, MUG Kraemer, CBF Vogels, A Hentoff, D Bhatia, D Stanek, B Scott, V Landis, I Stryker, M Cone, E Kopp, A Cannons, L Heberlein-Larson, S White, L Gillis, M Ricciardi, J Kwai, P Lichtenberger, D Magnani, D Watkins, G Palacios, DH Hamer, GeoSentinel Surveillance Network, L Gardner, TA Perkins, G Baele, K Khan, A Morrison, S Isern, SF Michael, KG Anderson. 2019. Travel surveillance and genomics uncover a hidden Zika outbreak during the waning epidemic. Cell. html | pdf | code
(3) RJ Oidtman, S Lai, Z Huang, J Yang, AS Siraj, RC Reiner, AJ Tatem, TA Perkins$, H Yu$. 2019. Inter-annual variation in seasonal dengue epidemics driven by multiple interacting factors in Guangzhou, China. Nature Communications. html | pdf | code
(2) AS Siraj, RJ Oidtman, J Huber, MUG Kraemer, OJ Brady, M Johannson, TA Perkins. 2017. Temperature modulates dengue virus epidemic growth rate through its effect on reproduction numbers and generation intervals. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases. html | pdf
(1) RJ Oidtman, RC Christofferson, QA ten Bosch, G España, MUG Kraemer, AJ Tatem, CM Barker, TA Perkins. 2016. Pokémon Go and exposure to mosquito-borne diseases: how not to catch 'em all. PLOS Currents Outbreaks. html
(12) TA Perkins, JH Huber, Q Tran Minh, RJ Oidtman, MK Walters, AS Siraj, SM Moore. Burden is in the eye of the beholder: Sensitivity of yellow fever disease burden estimates to modeling assumptions. Accepted at Science Advances. doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.01.06.21249311. html
(11) RJ Oidtman, E Omodei, MUG Kraemer, CA Casteñeda-Orjuela, E Cruz-Rivera, S Misnaza-Castrillón, MP Cifuentes, LE Rincon, Viviana Cañon, P de Alarcon, G España, JH Huber, SC Hill, CM Barker, MA Johansson, CA Manore, RC Reiner, I Rodriguez-Barraquer, AS Siraj, E Frias-Martinez, M García-Herranz, TA Perkins. Trade-offs between individual and ensemble forecasts of an emerging infectious disease. Accepted at Nature Communications. doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.02.25.21252363. html | pdf
(10) G España, SM Cavany^, RJ Oidtman^, Carly Barbera, Alan Costello, Anita Lerch, Marya Poterek, Quan Tran, Annaliese Weiler, SM Moore, TA Perkins. Impact of K-12 school reopening on the COVID-19 epidemic in Indiana, USA. 2021. Epidemics. html | pdf
(9) RJ Oidtman, P Arevalo, Q Bi, LM McGough, CJ Russo, M Veira, KM Gostic. Influenza immune escape under heterogeneous host immune histories. 2021. Trends in Microbiology. html | pdf
(8) AF Brito*, LC Machado*, RJ Oidtman [co-first]*, MC Lima Siconelli*, Q Minh Tran, JR Fauver, R Dias de Oliveira Carvalho, FZ Dezordi, MR Pereira, L Antunes De Castro-Jorge, EC Manini Minto, LM Romanholi Passos, CC Kalinich, ME Patrone, E Allen, G España, AT Huang, DAT Cummings, G Baele, RF Oliveira Franca$, BA Lopes da Fonseca$, TA Perkins$, GL Wallau$, ND Grubaugh$. Lying in wait: the resurgence of dengue virus after the Zika epidemic in Brazil. 2021. Nature Communications. html | pdf | code
(7) RJ Oidtman, G España, TA Perkins. Co-circulation and misdiagnosis led to underestimation of the 2015-2017 Zika epidemic in the Americas. 2021. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases. html | pdf | code
(6) SM Moore, RJ Oidtman, KJ Soda, AS Siraj, RC Reiner, CM Barker, TA Perkins. Leveraging multiple data types to estimate the true size of the Zika epidemic in the Americas. 2020. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases. html | pdf | code.
(5) TA Perkins*, SM Cavany*, SM Moore*, RJ Oidtman, A Lerch, M Poterek. 2020. Estimating unobserved SARS-CoV-2 infections in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. html | pdf | code
(4) N Grubaugh, S Saraf, K Gangavarapu, A Watts, AL Tan, RJ Oidtman, JT Ladner, G Oliveira, NL Matteson, MUG Kraemer, CBF Vogels, A Hentoff, D Bhatia, D Stanek, B Scott, V Landis, I Stryker, M Cone, E Kopp, A Cannons, L Heberlein-Larson, S White, L Gillis, M Ricciardi, J Kwai, P Lichtenberger, D Magnani, D Watkins, G Palacios, DH Hamer, GeoSentinel Surveillance Network, L Gardner, TA Perkins, G Baele, K Khan, A Morrison, S Isern, SF Michael, KG Anderson. 2019. Travel surveillance and genomics uncover a hidden Zika outbreak during the waning epidemic. Cell. html | pdf | code
(3) RJ Oidtman, S Lai, Z Huang, J Yang, AS Siraj, RC Reiner, AJ Tatem, TA Perkins$, H Yu$. 2019. Inter-annual variation in seasonal dengue epidemics driven by multiple interacting factors in Guangzhou, China. Nature Communications. html | pdf | code
(2) AS Siraj, RJ Oidtman, J Huber, MUG Kraemer, OJ Brady, M Johannson, TA Perkins. 2017. Temperature modulates dengue virus epidemic growth rate through its effect on reproduction numbers and generation intervals. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases. html | pdf
(1) RJ Oidtman, RC Christofferson, QA ten Bosch, G España, MUG Kraemer, AJ Tatem, CM Barker, TA Perkins. 2016. Pokémon Go and exposure to mosquito-borne diseases: how not to catch 'em all. PLOS Currents Outbreaks. html
Preprints
EY Cramer, EL Ray, VK Lopez, ..., RJ Oidtman, ..., RB Slayton, M Johansson, M Biggerstaff, NG Reich. Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the US. medRxiv. doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021/02.03.21250974. html
K Shea^, RK Borchering^, WJM Probert^, E Howerton^, TL Bogich^, S Li^, WG van Panhuis^, C Viboud^, ..., RJ Oidtman, ..., MC Runge^. COVID-19 opening strategies at the county level in the face of uncertainty: Multiple Models for Outbreak Decision Support. medRxiv. doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.11.03.20225409. html
K Shea^, RK Borchering^, WJM Probert^, E Howerton^, TL Bogich^, S Li^, WG van Panhuis^, C Viboud^, ..., RJ Oidtman, ..., MC Runge^. COVID-19 opening strategies at the county level in the face of uncertainty: Multiple Models for Outbreak Decision Support. medRxiv. doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.11.03.20225409. html